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Mayank Bansal
Mayank Bansal (CFA)
CFA Charterholder
Mayank Bansal is a CFA Charterholder and heads the Equity Research team at Kapitales Research, with over 5 years of experience analysing global equity markets. He leads fundamental, data-driven research combining rigorous financial analysis with macro trends.

Can Capstone Copper’s Record Q2 Earnings Offset Rising Costs?

Can Capstone Copper’s Record Q2 Earnings Offset Rising Costs? Source: Kapitales Research

Capstone Copper Corp. (ASX: CSC) reported its second-quarter 2026 results on 30 July 2026, delivering record revenue and adjusted earnings as stronger realised metal prices lifted profitability. Revenue climbed 36% year-on-year to US$739.7 million, while adjusted EBITDA reached US$354.0 million, marking a seventh consecutive quarterly record.Highlights:

  • Record revenue surged 36%, but production moved in the opposite direction.
  • Adjusted EBITDA hit US$354 million as stronger metal prices reshaped earnings.
  • Full-year guidance remains intact despite higher costs and softer copper output.

Higher Prices Power EarningsCapstone’s Q2 earnings benefited substantially from stronger commodity pricing. The realised copper price increased to US$6.22 per pound from US$4.39 per pound a year earlier. Net income attributable to shareholders climbed to US$74.3 million, equivalent to US$0.10 per share, from US$24.0 million, or US$0.03 per share, in the corresponding quarter of 2025. Adjusted attributable net income reached a record US$97.6 million.Cash generation also strengthened. Operating cash flow before working-capital movements increased to US$259.7 million, while net debt declined to US$674.9 million at June-end from US$780.1 million at December 2025. Available liquidity stood at approximately US$1.08 billion, providing meaningful financial flexibility as Capstone advances its development pipeline.Production Weakness Tempers Record QuarterThe operational picture was less uniform. Consolidated copper production fell 10% year-on-year to 51,759 tonnes, while C1 cash costs increased 15% to US$2.82 per pound. Mantoverde delivered a record 18,190 tonnes of sulphide copper, with plant throughput exceeding its designed capacity by 13%.Lower production at Mantos Blancos and weaker cathode output at Mantoverde weighed on consolidated volumes. Cost pressure also reflected higher diesel and sulphuric acid prices, highlighting the operational challenge behind the strong headline earnings.Outlook: Can Mantoverde Drive the Next Leg?Capstone retained its 2026 copper production guidance of 200,000–230,000 tonnes and C1 cash-cost guidance of US$2.45–US$2.75 per pound. Management expects stronger second-half production as the Mantoverde Optimized expansion progresses, with the US$176 million project expected to add roughly 20,000 tonnes of annual copper production.Beyond 2026, Mantoverde expansion and progress toward a Q4 2026 final investment decision for Santo Domingo provide further growth catalysts. The key question is whether higher throughput and expansion-led efficiencies can offset persistent input-cost pressure. If execution remains on schedule, Capstone could enter 2027 with a stronger production platform and improved operating leverage.Note- All data presented is based on information available at the time of writing.Disclaimer for Kapitales ResearchThe materials provided by Kapitales Research, including articles, news, data, reports, opinions, images, charts, and videos ("Content"), are intended for personal, non-commercial use only. The primary goal of this Content is to educate and inform readers. This Content is not meant to offer financial advice, nor does it include any recommendation or opinion that should be relied upon for making financial decisions. Certain Content on this platform may be sponsored or unsponsored, but it does not serve as a solicitation or endorsement to buy, sell, or hold any securities, nor does it encourage any specific investment activities. Kapitales Research is not authorized to provide investment advice, and we strongly advise users to seek guidance from a qualified financial professional, such as a financial advisor or stockbroker, before making any investment choices. Kapitales Research disclaims all liability for any direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages arising from the use of the Content, which is provided without any warranties. The opinions expressed by contributors or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the views of Kapitales Research. Media such as images or music used on this platform are either owned by Kapitales Research, sourced through paid subscriptions, or believed to be in the public domain. We have made reasonable efforts to credit sources where appropriate. Kapitales Research does not claim ownership of any third-party media unless explicitly stated otherwise.