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Mayank Bansal
Mayank Bansal, CFA
Mayank Bansal is a CFA Charterholder and heads the Equity Research team at Kapitales Research, with over 5 years of experience analysing global equity markets. He leads fundamental, data-driven research combining rigorous financial analysis with macro trends.

New Hope ASX Shares Face Profit Pressure Despite Production Growth

New Hope ASX Shares Face Profit Pressure Despite Production Growth Source: Kapitales Research

Highlights:

  • Saleable coal output expanded 7.6% to 11.5 million tonnes, accompanied by an 11.8% rise in coal sales to 11.8 million tonnes.
  • Revenue finished FY26 at AU$1.767 billion, while net profit after tax stood at AU$161.0 million.
  • Shareholders will receive a 30-cent fully franked final dividend, taking FY26 ordinary dividends to 40 cents per share.

Investors Weigh a Mixed FY26 ResultNew Hope Corporation Limited (ASX: NHC) moved into focus after publishing its FY26 financial results on 15 September 2026. Share was trading at a (CMP) of AU$6.370, up 1.4%. The result presented investors with two contrasting trends: mining activity strengthened considerably during the year, but weaker coal pricing and rising expenditure weighed heavily on earnings.Mines Deliver Higher VolumesOperationally, New Hope finished FY26 with increased activity across its mining portfolio. Total ROM coal production reached 16.9 million tonnes, representing growth of 3.3%. Saleable output advanced to 11.5 million tonnes, while customer sales increased to 11.8 million tonnes.

New Acland provided a particularly strong contribution as its expansion continued. The mine produced 3.3 million tonnes of saleable coal, 17.3% higher than the prior year, while sales surged 37.0% to 3.6 million tonnes.Lower Pricing Squeezes EarningsThe financial picture was less favourable. Revenue edged 0.5% lower to AU$1.767 billion, while underlying EBITDA contracted 32.8% to AU$514.3 million. Net profit after tax fell 63.4% to AU$161.0 million.

Pricing and expenses contributed to the decline. New Hope received an average realised price, including hedging, of AU$145.2 per tonne, down 10.0%. At the same time, group FOB cash costs, excluding royalties and trade coal, climbed 7.9% to AU$88.9 per sales tonne. Consequently, the underlying margin including hedging narrowed to AU$45.0 per tonne.Cash Strength Keeps Dividends FlowingImportantly, weaker earnings did not prevent solid cash generation. Operating activities produced AU$564.1 million in cash during FY26, while available cash stood at AU$778.5 million at 31 July 2026.

The company also increased its ordinary dividend distribution for the year to 40 cents per share, including a fully franked 30-cent final payment.What Comes Next for NHC Shares?Production growth remains central to New Hope’s outlook. New Acland is working towards an annual production level of approximately 5 million tonnes, while Bengalla has returned to a ROM production pace of 13.4 million tonnes per annum.

For NHC shares, the key question is whether additional tonnes and strong liquidity can outweigh cost inflation and unpredictable coal prices. That balance could determine whether the latest 1.4% gain develops into sustained momentum or begins to fade.

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