Market Alert : Global Markets Face Mixed Trends as US Inflation Rises and Treasury Yields Decline

Mayank Bansal
Mayank Bansal, CFA
Mayank Bansal is a CFA Charterholder and heads the Equity Research team at Kapitales Research, with over 5 years of experience analysing global equity markets. He leads fundamental, data-driven research combining rigorous financial analysis with macro trends.

3 ASX Shares Gain as Retail Earnings Outlook and Major Shareholding Changes Draw Attention

3 ASX Shares Gain as Retail Earnings Outlook and Major Shareholding Changes Draw Attention Source: Kapitales Research

Highlights:

  • Retailer forecasts first-half underlying net profit after tax of AU28 million to AU32 million amid mixed regional trading conditions.
  • Investment manager reports a change in its substantial shareholding following a series of share transactions.
  • Banking group announces it is no longer a substantial holder in an energy company after changes to its securities interests.

Australian equities saw gains across several companies, with investors assessing retail trading conditions, earnings expectations and changes in major shareholdings. Recent announcements from three ASX-listed businesses outlined developments ranging from profit guidance and international sales performance to institutional investment movements. These updates provide insight into company-specific developments that may influence market sentiment.

Stocks in Focus:

  • Nick Scali Limited (ASX: NCK) was trading at AU12.650,upAU0.620 or 5.153%.
  • Cochlear Limited (ASX: COH) was trading at AU146.810,upAU6.219 or 4.424%.
  • Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) was trading at AU164.000,upAU6.830 or 4.345%.

Retail Trading Conditions and First-Half Profit Guidance

Nick Scali Limited provided a trading update and first-half FY2027 profit guidance on 21 October 2026. The furniture retailer reported difficult conditions across Australia and New Zealand, where written sales orders in the first quarter were 15% lower than the corresponding period a year earlier, while store traffic declined by approximately 10%. The company also noted that a cybersecurity incident in August disrupted its enterprise resource planning systems for around three weeks, requiring stores to process orders manually. As a result of trading to date and its current order book, Nick Scali expects underlying group net profit after tax for the six months ending 31 December 2026 to range between AU28millionandAU32 million. Meanwhile, its UK business showed stronger momentum, with first-quarter written sales orders rising 29% year on year and like-for-like orders increasing 14%. The company continues to expand its store network and focus on margins and cost management.

Investment Manager Ends Substantial Holding in Cochlear

Cochlear Limited disclosed on 22 October 2026 that Pinnacle Investment Management Group Limited and its controlled entities ceased to be substantial holders on 20 October 2026. The notice detailed various acquisitions and disposals of ordinary shares during September and October, including a disposal of 184,311 shares on 20 October. The filing records changes in the investment manager’s relevant interests rather than a new operational or earnings announcement from Cochlear. It also stated that there had been no changes to the associations listed in the notice. The disclosure provides shareholders with an update on institutional ownership and trading activity involving the hearing-implant company.

Banking Group Ceases to Be a Substantial Holder in an Energy Company

Commonwealth Bank of Australia lodged a notice dated 23 October 2026 confirming it ceased to be a substantial holder in Karoon Energy Ltd on 22 October 2026. The filing identified changes involving securities lending, including the return of 732,454 fully paid ordinary shares to Merrill Lynch International and the borrowing of 463,646 shares on 21 October. The notice records the bank’s changing relevant interest in Karoon Energy securities. It does not announce a change to Commonwealth Bank’s own operating performance or financial outlook, but provides a regulatory update on its shareholding position in the energy company.

Conclusion

The announcements highlight different factors shaping investor attention, from retail earnings expectations and regional demand trends to changes in institutional shareholdings. Nick Scali’s first-half profit guidance and contrasting performance across Australia, New Zealand and the UK remain key indicators for its near-term outlook. Meanwhile, the ownership notices concerning Cochlear and Karoon Energy provide transparency around institutional investment positions. Investors will continue to monitor further company disclosures for updates on trading performance, earnings and shareholder activity.

Note: All data presented is based on information available at the time of writing.

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