Mayank Bansal is a CFA Charterholder and heads the Equity Research team at Kapitales Research, with over 5 years of experience analysing global equity markets. He leads fundamental, data-driven research combining rigorous financial analysis with macro trends.
Bellevue Gold Joins ASX Top Gainers as Hedge Burden Masks Strong FY26 Performance
Source: Kapitales Research
Highlights
Hedge commitments prevented Bellevue from fully benefiting from elevated spot gold prices.
FY26 revenue increased to AU$576.3 million, with free cash flow reaching AU$62.6 million.
Removing the remaining hedge position could strengthen the company’s FY27 earnings exposure.
Bellevue Shares Gain Attention
Bellevue Gold Limited (ASX: BGL) was among the ASX’s leading gainers after publishing its FY26 financial results on 22 September 2026. Shares advanced approximately 5% to a current market price of AU$1.627 as investors looked beyond modest statutory earnings and focused on cash generation and the planned closure of the hedge book.
Hedges Restrict Earnings Potential
The company recorded net profit after tax of AU$7.1 million. This result included the impact of delivering 83,400 ounces of gold into contracts priced below the prevailing spot market.Management calculated that FY26 profit may have been approximately AU$205 million if those ounces had achieved the average realised price earned from spot sales. This implies that hedge deliveries reduced the company’s potential earnings by almost AU$200 million.
Bellevue also estimated that revenue could have been around AU$285 million higher without the pricing effect of these contracts.
Operations Remain Within Target
Bellevue produced 143,500 ounces and sold 142,000 ounces during FY26. Production remained inside the company’s guidance range of 130,000–150,000 ounces.
Project all-in sustaining costs were AU$2,827 per ounce, satisfying the forecast range of AU$2,600–AU$2,900 per ounce. Revenue rose by AU$181.3 million to AU$576.3 million, while EBITDA reached AU$237.5 million and generated a 41% margin. EBITDA after lease-related costs amounted to AU$190.4 million.
Liquidity Position Improves
Operating activities generated AU$252.9 million in cash, while free cash flow reached a company record of AU$62.6 million. Combined cash and gold holdings expanded by AU$54.8 million to AU$206.4 million.
Borrowings remained at AU$100 million, with mandatory repayments not required until the end of FY27. The outstanding hedge balance declined to 68,700 ounces at 30 June 2026.
Outlook
For FY27, Bellevue expects to produce 150,000–170,000 ounces of gold while maintaining project AISC within AU$2,800–AU$3,100 per ounce. Planned non-sustaining capital expenditure remains AU$90 million–AU$100 million, while exploration investment is expected to range from AU$25 million to AU$30 million. The company intends to eliminate its remaining hedges during FY27, increasing participation in spot gold prices. Nevertheless, the outlook depends on production consistency, disciplined spending and cost control. Achieving guidance while completing the hedge exit will be central to maintaining investor confidence and recent share-price momentum.
Note- All data presented is based on information available at the time of writing.
Disclaimer for Kapitales Research
The materials provided by Kapitales Research, including articles, news, data, reports, opinions, images, charts, and videos ("Content"), are intended for personal, non-commercial use only. The primary goal of this Content is to educate and inform readers. This Content is not meant to offer financial advice, nor does it include any recommendation or opinion that should be relied upon for making financial decisions. Certain Content on this platform may be sponsored or unsponsored, but it does not serve as a solicitation or endorsement to buy, sell, or hold any securities, nor does it encourage any specific investment activities. Kapitales Research is not authorized to provide investment advice, and we strongly advise users to seek guidance from a qualified financial professional, such as a financial advisor or stockbroker, before making any investment choices. Kapitales Research disclaims all liability for any direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages arising from the use of the Content, which is provided without any warranties. The opinions expressed by contributors or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the views of Kapitales Research. Media such as images or music used on this platform are either owned by Kapitales Research, sourced through paid subscriptions, or believed to be in the public domain. We have made reasonable efforts to credit sources where appropriate. Kapitales Research does not claim ownership of any third-party media unless explicitly stated otherwise.
Customer Notice:
Nextgen Global Services Pty Ltd trading as Kapitales Research (ABN 89 652 632 561) is a Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 1293674) of Enva Australia Pty Ltd (AFSL 424494). The information contained in this website is general information only. Any advice is general advice only. No consideration has been given or will be given to the individual investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. The decision to invest or trade and the method selected is a personal decision and involves an inherent level of risk, and you must undertake your own investigations and obtain your own advice regarding the suitability of this product for your circumstances. Please be aware that all trading activity is subject to both profit & loss and may not be suitable for you. The past performance of this product is not and should not be taken as an indication of future performance.Disclosure: The information mentioned above has been sourced from the company reports and a third-party database, i.e. Koyfin. Investors are advised to use strict stop-loss to protect their investments in case of any unfavorable/uncertain market events.
Kapitales Research, Level 13, Suite 1A, 465 Victoria Ave, Chatswood, NSW 2067, Australia | 1800 005 780 | info@kapitales.com.au
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Bellevue Gold Joins ASX Top Gainers as Hedge Burden Masks Strong FY26 Performance
Highlights
Bellevue Shares Gain Attention
Bellevue Gold Limited (ASX: BGL) was among the ASX’s leading gainers after publishing its FY26 financial results on 22 September 2026. Shares advanced approximately 5% to a current market price of AU$1.627 as investors looked beyond modest statutory earnings and focused on cash generation and the planned closure of the hedge book.
Hedges Restrict Earnings Potential
The company recorded net profit after tax of AU$7.1 million. This result included the impact of delivering 83,400 ounces of gold into contracts priced below the prevailing spot market. Management calculated that FY26 profit may have been approximately AU$205 million if those ounces had achieved the average realised price earned from spot sales. This implies that hedge deliveries reduced the company’s potential earnings by almost AU$200 million.
Bellevue also estimated that revenue could have been around AU$285 million higher without the pricing effect of these contracts.
Operations Remain Within Target
Bellevue produced 143,500 ounces and sold 142,000 ounces during FY26. Production remained inside the company’s guidance range of 130,000–150,000 ounces.
Project all-in sustaining costs were AU$2,827 per ounce, satisfying the forecast range of AU$2,600–AU$2,900 per ounce. Revenue rose by AU$181.3 million to AU$576.3 million, while EBITDA reached AU$237.5 million and generated a 41% margin. EBITDA after lease-related costs amounted to AU$190.4 million.
Liquidity Position Improves
Operating activities generated AU$252.9 million in cash, while free cash flow reached a company record of AU$62.6 million. Combined cash and gold holdings expanded by AU$54.8 million to AU$206.4 million.
Borrowings remained at AU$100 million, with mandatory repayments not required until the end of FY27. The outstanding hedge balance declined to 68,700 ounces at 30 June 2026.
Outlook
For FY27, Bellevue expects to produce 150,000–170,000 ounces of gold while maintaining project AISC within AU$2,800–AU$3,100 per ounce. Planned non-sustaining capital expenditure remains AU$90 million–AU$100 million, while exploration investment is expected to range from AU$25 million to AU$30 million. The company intends to eliminate its remaining hedges during FY27, increasing participation in spot gold prices. Nevertheless, the outlook depends on production consistency, disciplined spending and cost control. Achieving guidance while completing the hedge exit will be central to maintaining investor confidence and recent share-price momentum.
Note- All data presented is based on information available at the time of writing.
Disclaimer for Kapitales Research
The materials provided by Kapitales Research, including articles, news, data, reports, opinions, images, charts, and videos ("Content"), are intended for personal, non-commercial use only. The primary goal of this Content is to educate and inform readers. This Content is not meant to offer financial advice, nor does it include any recommendation or opinion that should be relied upon for making financial decisions. Certain Content on this platform may be sponsored or unsponsored, but it does not serve as a solicitation or endorsement to buy, sell, or hold any securities, nor does it encourage any specific investment activities. Kapitales Research is not authorized to provide investment advice, and we strongly advise users to seek guidance from a qualified financial professional, such as a financial advisor or stockbroker, before making any investment choices. Kapitales Research disclaims all liability for any direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages arising from the use of the Content, which is provided without any warranties. The opinions expressed by contributors or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the views of Kapitales Research. Media such as images or music used on this platform are either owned by Kapitales Research, sourced through paid subscriptions, or believed to be in the public domain. We have made reasonable efforts to credit sources where appropriate. Kapitales Research does not claim ownership of any third-party media unless explicitly stated otherwise.
Customer Notice:
Nextgen Global Services Pty Ltd trading as Kapitales Research (ABN 89 652 632 561) is a Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 1293674) of Enva Australia Pty Ltd (AFSL 424494). The information contained in this website is general information only. Any advice is general advice only. No consideration has been given or will be given to the individual investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. The decision to invest or trade and the method selected is a personal decision and involves an inherent level of risk, and you must undertake your own investigations and obtain your own advice regarding the suitability of this product for your circumstances. Please be aware that all trading activity is subject to both profit & loss and may not be suitable for you. The past performance of this product is not and should not be taken as an indication of future performance.Disclosure: The information mentioned above has been sourced from the company reports and a third-party database, i.e. Koyfin. Investors are advised to use strict stop-loss to protect their investments in case of any unfavorable/uncertain market events.
Kapitales Research, Level 13, Suite 1A, 465 Victoria Ave, Chatswood, NSW 2067, Australia | 1800 005 780 | info@kapitales.com.au