Mayank Bansal is a CFA Charterholder and heads the Equity Research team at Kapitales Research, with over 5 years of experience analysing global equity markets. He leads fundamental, data-driven research combining rigorous financial analysis with macro trends.
Can Telstra’s FY26 Earnings Momentum and AI Infrastructure Push Sustain Stronger Growth?
Telstra lifted FY26 dividends to 21 cents, while another major buy-back awaits.
AI infrastructure demand is accelerating, but rising Aura investment adds a new execution test.
Earnings Momentum StrengthensTelstra Group Limited (ASX: TLS) reported its FY26 results on 13 August 2026, delivering stronger earnings and shareholder returns despite a modest decline in total income. Reported EBITDAaL increased 3% to AU$8.2 billion, while net profit after tax rose 2.7% to AU$2.4 billion. Underlying EBITDAaL advanced 4% to AU$8.3 billion, reflecting disciplined cost management and continued momentum across core operations.Mobile and Infrastructure Drive MomentumMobile remained a major earnings engine, with service revenue rising 4.8% and handheld users increasing by 274,000 during FY26. Postpaid, prepaid and wholesale average revenue per user also improved, reinforcing Telstra’s ability to monetise its network investment.
Infrastructure is becoming increasingly important to the growth narrative. Telstra has deployed more than 8,500 kilometres of fibre across its Aura Network and secured long-term arrangements involving Google, AWS, Firmus and Microsoft. However, expected strategic investment covering Aura and Viasat has increased to around AU$1.8 billion across FY23-FY28.Shareholder Returns StrengthenImproved cash generation translated into stronger capital returns. Cash earnings climbed 11.6% to AU$2.876 billion, while cash EPS reached 25.5 cents.
Telstra declared a 10.5-cent final dividend, taking FY26 distributions to 21 cents per share, up 10.5% on a cash basis. The company also completed an AU$1.25 billion share buy-back and announced a further buy-back of up to AU$1 billion.What Comes Next for Telstra?FY27 guidance points to continued expansion, with underlying EBITDAaL expected between AU$8.5 billion and AU$8.8 billion and Cash EBIT between AU$4.75 billion and AU$4.95 billion.
The next phase will hinge on Telstra converting network investment, AI-driven infrastructure demand and digital transformation into sustainable cash growth. Execution discipline remains critical as the company simultaneously increases network investment and pursues its Connected Future 30 ambitions.Note- All data presented is based on information available at the time of writing.Disclaimer for Kapitales ResearchThe materials provided by Kapitales Research, including articles, news, data, reports, opinions, images, charts, and videos ("Content"), are intended for personal, non-commercial use only. The primary goal of this Content is to educate and inform readers. This Content is not meant to offer financial advice, nor does it include any recommendation or opinion that should be relied upon for making financial decisions. Certain Content on this platform may be sponsored or unsponsored, but it does not serve as a solicitation or endorsement to buy, sell, or hold any securities, nor does it encourage any specific investment activities. Kapitales Research is not authorized to provide investment advice, and we strongly advise users to seek guidance from a qualified financial professional, such as a financial advisor or stockbroker, before making any investment choices. Kapitales Research disclaims all liability for any direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages arising from the use of the Content, which is provided without any warranties. The opinions expressed by contributors or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the views of Kapitales Research. Media such as images or music used on this platform are either owned by Kapitales Research, sourced through paid subscriptions, or believed to be in the public domain. We have made reasonable efforts to credit sources where appropriate. Kapitales Research does not claim ownership of any third-party media unless explicitly stated otherwise.
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Can Telstra’s FY26 Earnings Momentum and AI Infrastructure Push Sustain Stronger Growth?
Highlights:
Earnings Momentum StrengthensTelstra Group Limited (ASX: TLS) reported its FY26 results on 13 August 2026, delivering stronger earnings and shareholder returns despite a modest decline in total income. Reported EBITDAaL increased 3% to AU$8.2 billion, while net profit after tax rose 2.7% to AU$2.4 billion. Underlying EBITDAaL advanced 4% to AU$8.3 billion, reflecting disciplined cost management and continued momentum across core operations.Mobile and Infrastructure Drive MomentumMobile remained a major earnings engine, with service revenue rising 4.8% and handheld users increasing by 274,000 during FY26. Postpaid, prepaid and wholesale average revenue per user also improved, reinforcing Telstra’s ability to monetise its network investment.
Infrastructure is becoming increasingly important to the growth narrative. Telstra has deployed more than 8,500 kilometres of fibre across its Aura Network and secured long-term arrangements involving Google, AWS, Firmus and Microsoft. However, expected strategic investment covering Aura and Viasat has increased to around AU$1.8 billion across FY23-FY28.Shareholder Returns StrengthenImproved cash generation translated into stronger capital returns. Cash earnings climbed 11.6% to AU$2.876 billion, while cash EPS reached 25.5 cents.
Telstra declared a 10.5-cent final dividend, taking FY26 distributions to 21 cents per share, up 10.5% on a cash basis. The company also completed an AU$1.25 billion share buy-back and announced a further buy-back of up to AU$1 billion.What Comes Next for Telstra?FY27 guidance points to continued expansion, with underlying EBITDAaL expected between AU$8.5 billion and AU$8.8 billion and Cash EBIT between AU$4.75 billion and AU$4.95 billion.
The next phase will hinge on Telstra converting network investment, AI-driven infrastructure demand and digital transformation into sustainable cash growth. Execution discipline remains critical as the company simultaneously increases network investment and pursues its Connected Future 30 ambitions.Note- All data presented is based on information available at the time of writing.Disclaimer for Kapitales ResearchThe materials provided by Kapitales Research, including articles, news, data, reports, opinions, images, charts, and videos ("Content"), are intended for personal, non-commercial use only. The primary goal of this Content is to educate and inform readers. This Content is not meant to offer financial advice, nor does it include any recommendation or opinion that should be relied upon for making financial decisions. Certain Content on this platform may be sponsored or unsponsored, but it does not serve as a solicitation or endorsement to buy, sell, or hold any securities, nor does it encourage any specific investment activities. Kapitales Research is not authorized to provide investment advice, and we strongly advise users to seek guidance from a qualified financial professional, such as a financial advisor or stockbroker, before making any investment choices. Kapitales Research disclaims all liability for any direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages arising from the use of the Content, which is provided without any warranties. The opinions expressed by contributors or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the views of Kapitales Research. Media such as images or music used on this platform are either owned by Kapitales Research, sourced through paid subscriptions, or believed to be in the public domain. We have made reasonable efforts to credit sources where appropriate. Kapitales Research does not claim ownership of any third-party media unless explicitly stated otherwise.
Customer Notice:
Nextgen Global Services Pty Ltd trading as Kapitales Research (ABN 89 652 632 561) is a Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 1293674) of Enva Australia Pty Ltd (AFSL 424494). The information contained in this website is general information only. Any advice is general advice only. No consideration has been given or will be given to the individual investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. The decision to invest or trade and the method selected is a personal decision and involves an inherent level of risk, and you must undertake your own investigations and obtain your own advice regarding the suitability of this product for your circumstances. Please be aware that all trading activity is subject to both profit & loss and may not be suitable for you. The past performance of this product is not and should not be taken as an indication of future performance.Disclosure: The information mentioned above has been sourced from the company reports and a third-party database, i.e. Koyfin. Investors are advised to use strict stop-loss to protect their investments in case of any unfavorable/uncertain market events.
Kapitales Research, Level 13, Suite 1A, 465 Victoria Ave, Chatswood, NSW 2067, Australia | 1800 005 780 | info@kapitales.com.au