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Australia Adds 17,800 Jobs in January-Is the Strong Labour Market Increasing the Risk of Another Rate Hike?

Source: Kapitales Research

Highlights:

  • Employment growth continues: Australia added 17,800 jobs in January while unemployment held at 4.1%.
  • The labour market stays tight: Strong hiring could keep inflation pressures elevated.
  • Rate outlook in focus: Markets are watching upcoming inflation data for clues on further Reserve Bank action.

Steady Jobs Growth Keeps Economy in Focus

Australia’s labour market showed continued resilience after employment increased by 17,800 positions in January, while the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.1% at the time of writing. The outcome came slightly below forecasts for 20,000 new jobs but stronger than expectations for a rise in joblessness, reinforcing the view that hiring conditions remain stable. The latest figures have already been widely reported across financial news platforms, highlighting how labour market strength is shaping expectations for future interest-rate moves.

Why the Labour Market Matters for Interest Rates

A resilient employment backdrop is closely linked to inflation trends, making it a key indicator for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). At the time of writing, economists noted that steady unemployment and solid full-time job gains suggest the economy is still operating near capacity, which may keep wage pressures elevated. The central bank recently lifted its cash rate after a long pause, signalling that inflation remains above target. Strong jobs data could strengthen expectations of further tightening if price growth fails to ease.

What Comes Next for Markets and Policy?

Looking ahead, investors are closely watching the upcoming monthly inflation figures, which could influence the path of monetary policy in the months ahead. With money markets already pricing in the possibility of another rate increase, the labour market’s resilience may keep policymakers cautious.

While employment growth slowed compared with December’s surge, the steady jobless rate and continued hiring suggest Australia’s economy remains more robust than many had predicted — a factor that could shape interest-rate decisions well into 2026.

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