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Can Philips Expanded Deal Supercharge 4DMedicals Growth Story?

Source: Kapitales Research

Highlights:

  • 4DMedical Limited (ASX: 4DX) gained attention after Koninklijke Philips expanded its global distribution agreement for the FDA-cleared CT:VQ lung imaging solution.
  • The move builds on September 2025 FDA clearance and CMS reimbursement, potentially accelerating hospital adoption through Philips’ worldwide imaging network.
  • While the deal strengthens the growth narrative, investors remain focused on 4DMedical’s short cash runway and reliance on future capital raises.

Global Distribution Boost Puts Spotlight on CT:VQ

4DMedical Limited (ASX: 4DX) has moved back into investor focus after imaging giant Koninklijke Philips announced an expansion of its distribution agreement for the company’s CT:VQ lung imaging technology. In early December 2025, Philips held a special call outlining plans to widen global access to the FDA-cleared, non-contrast CT:VQ ventilation and perfusion solution. At the time of writing, the development is being viewed as a potentially meaningful step toward accelerating hospital adoption worldwide.

Why the Philips Expansion Matters

The expanded agreement allows CT:VQ to tap into Philips’ extensive global imaging footprint, significantly broadening its commercial reach. For 4DMedical, this strengthens the pathway from regulatory approval to real-world clinical use. The move builds on a key milestone achieved in September 2025, when CT:VQ secured US FDA 510(k) clearance alongside CMS reimbursement, formally enabling both clinical use and payment in the world’s largest healthcare market.

With Philips now positioned to distribute the product more widely, the focus shifts to how quickly hospitals convert interest into routine, billable scans. That uptake rate will be crucial in determining whether revenue growth can scale fast enough.

Strong Growth Ambitions, Funding Questions Remain

At the time of writing, 4DMedical’s longer-term projections point to revenue of about AU$48.5 million and earnings of AU$17.4 million by 2028. Achieving those targets implies annual revenue growth of more than 100 per cent and a sharp turnaround from current losses. While the Philips deal reinforces the commercial opportunity, it does not eliminate concerns around cash runway and potential dilution from future capital raisings.

Valuation Views Remain Split

Investor opinions remain wide-ranging. Community-based valuation estimates span from as low as AU$0.19 to as high as AU$4.25 per share, highlighting uncertainty around execution risk. At the time of writing, some models suggest a fair value near AU$2.30, slightly below the current share price.

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