Market Alert : Inflation and Oil Prices Climb as War Risks Escalate — The Road Ahead for the ASX 200

Mid-Market: S&P/ASX 200 Trading Sharply Higher; US Efforts To Resolve Iran Conflict And Soft Inflation Data Ease May Rate Hike Expectations

Source: Kapitales Research

On 25 March 2026, at AEDT 12:10 PM, the benchmark index S&P/ASX 200 is trading higher today, gaining 169.70 points or 2.03%, and is currently trading at 8,549.10 levels. Out of 11, 9 sectors are trading higher along with the gain in the S&P/ASX 200.

The Materials and A-REIT sectors are the top 2 gaining sectors, gaining 4.08% and 2.26% in their index values. On the other hand, Energy and Consumer Staples sectors are the top 2 declining sectors, declining 2.81% and 0.24% in their index values.

Imdex Limited (ASX: IMD) and Silex Systems Limited (ASX: SLX) are the top-gaining stocks, gaining 10.479% and 10.327% in their stock prices. On the other hand, Karoon Energy Limited (ASX: KAR) and Yancoal Australia Limited (ASX: YAL) are the top-losing stocks and are declining by 8.738% and 5.784% in their stock prices.

Factors influencing the market-

  • The Australian share market recorded its strongest gains in a year, supported by improved sentiment after the US moved to resolve the nearly month-long conflict with Iran. Investor confidence was further boosted by softer-than-expected inflation data, which reduced expectations of a May interest rate hike.
  • According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, inflation came in below forecasts at 3.7% prior to the start of the Iran conflict in February. Meanwhile, the trimmed mean inflation rate remained at 3.3%, unchanged from a downwardly revised 3.3%.
  • Rio Tinto Limited’s shares are gaining following the company is set to receive $2 billion in taxpayer support to help secure the long-term future of its Boyne aluminium smelter in North Queensland, contingent on committing more than $7 billion to new clean energy developments in the state.
  • Worley Limited gained after announcing strengthened safety protocols in the Middle East, including travel restrictions, staff relocations, and remote working measures. The region contributes about 10% of the company’s revenue.
  • Pepper Money climbed 2.5% after ending takeover discussions with Challenger, having rejected a $2.25 per share proposal on the basis that it was not reasonably executable.
  • Amplitude Energy plunged 36.5% after determining that its Isabella gas discovery in the offshore Otway Basin was not commercially viable following flow test results, and it will proceed to plug and abandon the well.
  • The Dow Jones closed down by 0.18%, S&P 500 declined by 0.37% and Nasdaq was down by 0.84% in the previous session.
  • Hang Seng is up by 2.79%, and FTSE 100 is up by 0.72%.

 

 

Customer Notice:

Nextgen Global Services Pty Ltd trading as Kapitales Research (ABN 89 652 632 561) is a Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 1293674) of Enva Australia Pty Ltd (AFSL 424494). The information contained in this website is general information only. Any advice is general advice only. No consideration has been given or will be given to the individual investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. The decision to invest or trade and the method selected is a personal decision and involves an inherent level of risk, and you must undertake your own investigations and obtain your own advice regarding the suitability of this product for your circumstances. Please be aware that all trading activity is subject to both profit & loss and may not be suitable for you. The past performance of this product is not and should not be taken as an indication of future performance.

Kapitales Research, Level 13, Suite 1A, 465 Victoria Ave, Chatswood, NSW 2067, Australia | 1800 005 780 | info@kapitales.com.au