Market Alert : Cooling Inflation, Rising Oil Prices: How Should Australian Investors Respond?

3 ASX Stocks Rally Up to Nearly 7% After Delivering Standout Business Updates

Source: Kapitales Research

Highlights

  • Record operational performance, upgraded earnings outlook, and strong fund inflows fuelled investor optimism.
  • One company posted record production, another lifted profit guidance, while the third achieved a new funds under management milestone.
  • The positive updates pushed all three ASX stocks higher, with gains of up to 6.81% during the trading session.

A trio of ASX-listed companies delivered upbeat market updates this week, sending their share prices sharply higher as investors digested record production figures, improved profit guidance, and a fresh funds-under-management milestone. From gas fields off the Victorian coast to superannuation flows and wealth management earnings, the common thread was resilience—each business demonstrating an ability to grow despite a challenging economic backdrop.

Stocks in Focus

  • Amplitude Energy Limited (ASX: AEL): Trading at AU$1.490.
  • AMP Limited (ASX: AMP): Trading at AU$1.842.
  • Australian Ethical Investment Limited (ASX: AEF): Trading at AU$4.610.

Amplitude Energy Rides a Wave of Production Records

Amplitude Energy Limited is trading at $1.490, up $0.094, a gain of approximately 6.81% today, after the company released its June quarter report showcasing a string of new operational and financial highs. Group production for the 2026 financial year climbed to 27.6 petajoules-equivalent, a 3% improvement on the prior year, while the Orbost Gas Processing Plant contributed 24.3 petajoules over the same period—also a fresh record.A Record-Breaking Finish to the YearManaging Director Jane Norman highlighted that the company closed out the financial year with genuine momentum, pointing to new highs in production, revenue and realised gas pricing. Post quarter-end, the Orbost facility pushed daily output into the mid-70 terajoule range, a result she attributed to ongoing debottlenecking work by the engineering team. Full-year revenue reached $285.8 million, up 7%, supported by an average realised gas price of $10.35 per gigajoule—itself a 4% increase.Otway Basin Expansion Takes ShapePerhaps the most consequential development was the completion of Amplitude's acquisition of a 50% interest in the Artisan gas field from Beach Energy, following a successful flow test that satisfied a key condition of the deal. Combined with the company's existing Annie resource, Artisan is expected to meaningfully strengthen the economics of the East Coast Supply Project, with further upside possible should exploration at the nearby Juliet and Nestor prospects prove successful. Drilling at Juliet is slated to begin in late July or early August, with a final investment decision on the broader development phase expected in the first quarter of the new financial year.Balance Sheet Strength Underpins Growth PlansDespite a brief dip in spot gas prices during early winter, Amplitude's heavily contracted sales book—with roughly 80% of 2026 calendar year volumes locked in under existing agreements—provided a cushion against volatility. The company ended the financial year with net debt of just $37.2 million, a dramatic reduction from $242.8 million a year earlier, giving it firm footing to fund the next phase of drilling largely through internal cash generation.

AMP Lifts Profit Guidance on Stronger Partnerships and Investment Income

AMP Limited shares gained 6.502% to $1.842, up $0.112, after the wealth and investment group flagged that underlying net profit after tax for the first half of 2026 is expected to land between $170 million and $180 million.China Partnerships Deliver a Notable BoostThe upgraded outlook was driven by several factors, chief among them a stronger contribution from AMP's China joint ventures, which rose 24% on the previous half to around $56 million. Favourable investment income, estimated at roughly $5 million, added further support, reflecting the impact of recent interest rate movements on the group's balance sheet.Carried Interest Adds a Welcome WindfallA further boost came from the recognition of approximately $13 million in carried interest, tied to the partial sale of remaining assets within a legacy fund retained from AMP's earlier divestment of its international infrastructure equity business. DigitalBridge, the counterparty in that transaction, opted to pay a portion of this carried interest ahead of the sale of the remaining stake, with the other conditions of the arrangement now satisfied. AMP noted there remains potential for additional carried interest down the track, though this hinges on the eventual sale of the remaining 49% interest and cannot yet be quantified with certainty.Looking Ahead to Full ResultsThese positive items were partly offset by a $12 million negative revaluation within the group's other partnership investments. AMP is set to release its full first-half results on 6 August, when it will also provide updated guidance for the full financial year—a date investors will likely watch closely given today's encouraging signal.

Australian Ethical Crosses $14.5 Billion in Funds Under Management

Rounding out the day's positive news, Australian Ethical Investment Limited shares rose 5.251% to $4.610, up $0.230, after the fund manager confirmed it had reached a record $14.5 billion in funds under management as at 30 June 2026.Superannuation Flows Drive the MilestoneManaging Director John McMurdo credited strong fourth-quarter inflows into superannuation, alongside continued support from strategic partner the Clean Energy Finance Corporation, for helping the business finish the financial year on a high note. Superannuation net flows for the quarter reached $196 million, buoyed by end-of-year contributions and growing rollover activity.Diversification Proves Its WorthThe newly launched Growth Opportunities Fund also played a role, with the CEFC's $125 million commitment providing valuable support to the asset management arm during a period marked by higher-than-usual redemptions elsewhere. For the full year, retail and wholesale net flows totalled $491 million, while institutional flows added a further $173 million—results McMurdo described as particularly pleasing given the volatile market conditions that defined much of the year.Strength Amid Global Market ChallengesInvestment returns were influenced by a challenging market environment, with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East contributing to elevated energy prices. While Australian Ethical's values-based approach meant it missed out on gains from some strongly performing sectors, overweight positions in technology, healthcare and smaller companies faced a sell-off—losses that were partly offset by solid returns from fixed income and private markets. A $650 million investment performance in the final quarter capped off what the company called a resilient year for its diversified business model.Note- All data presented is based on information available at the time of writing.Disclaimer for Kapitales ResearchThe materials provided by Kapitales Research, including articles, news, data, reports, opinions, images, charts, and videos ("Content"), are intended for personal, non-commercial use only. The primary goal of this Content is to educate and inform readers. This Content is not meant to offer financial advice, nor does it include any recommendation or opinion that should be relied upon for making financial decisions. Certain Content on this platform may be sponsored or unsponsored, but it does not serve as a solicitation or endorsement to buy, sell, or hold any securities, nor does it encourage any specific investment activities. Kapitales Research is not authorized to provide investment advice, and we strongly advise users to seek guidance from a qualified financial professional, such as a financial advisor or stockbroker, before making any investment choices. Kapitales Research disclaims all liability for any direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages arising from the use of the Content, which is provided without any warranties. The opinions expressed by contributors or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the views of Kapitales Research. Media such as images or music used on this platform are either owned by Kapitales Research, sourced through paid subscriptions, or believed to be in the public domain. We have made reasonable efforts to credit sources where appropriate. Kapitales Research does not claim ownership of any third-party media unless explicitly stated otherwise. 

 

 

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