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Can Capstone Keep Production on Track Despite Ongoing Strike in Chile?

Source: Kapitales Research

Highlights:

  • Capstone Copper Corp has resumed operations at its Mantoverde mine in Chile, running at 50% to 75% capacity, at the time of writing.
  • The ongoing strike by Union #2, representing about 22% of the workforce, continues to limit full production.
  • Despite disruptions, Mantoverde is still expected to produce around 101,000 tonnes of copper in 2026, within company guidance.

Operations Resume, But at Reduced Capacity

Capstone Copper Corp (ASX: CSC) has resumed operations at its Mantoverde copper mine in Chile, even as a labour strike continues to limit production. The company confirmed that the mine is currently operating at 50% to 75% of normal capacity, at the time of writing, after failing to reach a resolution with one of its worker unions. The strike, led by Union #2 — which represents around 22% of Mantoverde’s workforce — began on January 2 and has yet to be settled. Capstone relies heavily on Mantoverde, which contributes about 42% of its total copper output, making the disruption a major operational challenge.

Why the Strike Still Matters

Although Capstone regained access to a critical desalination plant over the weekend, negotiations with the union remain stalled. The desalination facility is essential for supplying water to the mine, and its temporary shutdown earlier this month forced the company to scale back operations significantly. The dispute escalated following a January 18 incident, when individuals allegedly entered the plant and interfered with electrical systems, cutting water supply to the site. While operations have since resumed, Capstone had earlier warned output could drop to as low as one-third of normal levels during the strike.

Despite these setbacks, analysts remain cautiously optimistic. Mantoverde is expected to produce around 101,000 tonnes of copper in 2026, still within the company’s guidance range of 97,000 to 112,000 tonnes, at the time of writing.

Market Reaction and What’s Next

Investors appeared encouraged by the partial restart. Capstone’s Toronto-listed shares rose about 5% to $15.84, giving the company a market capitalisation of roughly $12 billion (US$8.8 billion), at the time of writing. Mantoverde, which is 30% owned by Mitsubishi Materials, remains one of Capstone’s core Chilean assets. The company said it is still open to discussions and remains committed to reaching an agreement with Union #2. For now, Capstone is walking a fine line — keeping production alive while managing labour tensions that could shape its performance for the rest of the year.

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