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James Hardie Shares Slide After Citi Flags Target Concerns

Sep 24, 2025

Highlights:

  • James Hardie Industries Plc (ASX: JHX) dropped nearly 5%, trading at AU$28.13 at the time of writing.
  • Citi flagged differences between AGM targets and market consensus expectations.
  • Investor sentiment weakened on concerns about future earnings alignment.

Share Price Decline

James Hardie Industries Plc (ASX: JHX) faced a sharp decline in its share price on Tuesday, falling 4.9% after investment bank Citi raised concerns over the company’s newly published targets. At the time of writing, James Hardie shares were trading at AU$28.13, down AU$1.44 or 4.86%.

Citi Raises Red Flags

The sell-off followed Citi’s assessment that performance targets outlined in materials for James Hardie’s upcoming annual general meeting appeared to differ “materially” from broader market expectations. While the company has not issued any revisions to guidance, the divergence highlighted by Citi has sparked doubts among investors about whether the company can meet near-term consensus forecasts.

Citi’s analysis suggested that the outlook presented for fiscal year performance may be more conservative than what analysts had previously anticipated. This discrepancy created uncertainty around earnings momentum and growth prospects for the building materials manufacturer.

Investor Sentiment Weakens

The market reaction underscores investor sensitivity to outlook guidance, particularly in the context of the current housing and construction environment. James Hardie, known for its fibre cement products, remains heavily exposed to housing demand trends in North America and other markets. The pullback in share price indicates that investors are cautious about potential downside risks if Citi’s concerns prove accurate. Analysts suggest further clarity at the annual general meeting will be crucial in restoring confidence. Until then, the divergence between Citi’s interpretation and broader consensus expectations may continue to weigh on the stock.

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