Market Alert: Putin Meets Trump in Alaska: A Cold Front for Market Volatility or Calm?

Oil Prices Decline for Fourth Straight Session Amid US-Russia Tensions Over Ukraine Truce

Aug 06, 2025

Highlights:

  • WTI crude oil dropped 1.7% to around US$65 per barrel at the time of writing, marking its fourth consecutive daily decline.
  • Russia is reportedly considering a temporary halt to air strikes in Ukraine to avoid facing new US sanctions, including a potential crackdown on its “shadow fleet” of oil tankers.
  • Tensions escalated as US President Trump threatened higher tariffs on India for purchasing Russian crude, a move New Delhi labelled as unjustified.

WTI Crude Drops 1.7% as Kremlin Considers Ceasefire Proposals

Oil markets extended their losing streak for the fourth consecutive session, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude slipping 1.7% to trade near US$65 per barrel at the time of writing. The decline followed reports that Russia is evaluating potential concessions to US President Donald Trump, including a possible pause in air strikes on Ukraine, in an effort to deter additional US sanctions.

According to Bloomberg, the Kremlin is exploring various diplomatic options to avoid facing secondary sanctions, which could further isolate Moscow from global energy markets. The Financial Times also reported that President Trump is contemplating sanctions targeting Russia’s so-called “shadow fleet” of oil tankers, should President Vladimir Putin refuse to agree to a ceasefire by the upcoming Friday deadline.

Geopolitical Tensions Weigh on Market Sentiment

Crude prices rebounded slightly from intraday lows after news surfaced regarding the potential blacklisting of Russian oil vessels. However, traders remain cautious as uncertainties loom over whether the proposed sanctions will materialize. US special envoy Steve Witkoff is scheduled to visit Russia this week to engage in ceasefire negotiations.

Joe DeLaura, global energy strategist at Rabobank, commented that while Trump’s rhetoric on sanctions is impactful for market sentiment, only physical disruptions to supply routes could significantly affect Russia’s oil flows, given its extensive trade ties with India and China.

Tariff Threats on India Add to Volatility

Adding to the geopolitical strain, President Trump threatened to raise tariffs on India, accusing New Delhi of prolonging the Ukraine conflict through continued crude purchases from Russia. India has dismissed these accusations as unwarranted, further complicating diplomatic relations.

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