Can BHP’s Earnings Momentum Give This ASX Stock More Room to Run?
Source: Kapitales Research
Highlights
BHP posted FY26 revenue of US$58.76 billion, up 15%, while profit attributable to shareholders rose 9% to US$9.83 billion.
Underlying EBITDA climbed to US$32.95 billion, with underlying attributable profit reaching US$13.20 billion and underlying ROCE improving to 26.1%.
FY26 dividends totalled US$1.72 per share, translating into US$8.7 billion of shareholder distributions and a 66% payout of underlying attributable profit.
Why Is BHP Stock Back in Focus?BHP Group Limited (ASX: BHP) has moved into the spotlight after its shares advanced around 3%, taking the current market price (CMP) to AU$64.000. Investor interest follows a solid FY26 result, where stronger commodity pricing and dependable operating performance helped lift the company’s financial position.
BHP generated US$58.76 billion in revenue, 15% higher year on year, while attributable profit increased 9% to US$9.83 billion. Underlying EBITDA expanded to US$32.95 billion from US$25.98 billion in FY25, signalling a notable improvement in underlying earnings.Where Did the Earnings Boost Come From?Copper emerged as a major force behind BHP’s improved performance. The division generated US$29.0 billion in revenue, US$6.5 billion more than the previous year. Copper underlying EBITDA increased by US$5.9 billion to US$18.2 billion, largely benefiting from stronger realised prices.
Iron Ore continued to provide substantial earnings support, contributing US$23.9 billion in revenue and US$14.5 billion in underlying EBITDA.
Cash generation was also healthy. Net operating cash flows reached US$21.78 billion, while capital and exploration expenditure stood at US$10.26 billion. Importantly, net debt reduced to US$8.69 billion from US$12.92 billion in FY25, providing BHP with greater balance-sheet flexibility.How Is BHP Preparing for Future Growth?BHP continues to deepen its exposure to copper while building its potash business. Copper South Australia produced 321 thousand tonnes of payable copper, while Antamina achieved a financial-year record of 152 thousand tonnes.
Meanwhile, Jansen Stage 1 reached 84% completion, with first potash output expected in mid-CY27, potentially adding another long-term earnings stream.What Could Shape BHP’s Next Share-Price Move?For FY27, BHP expects copper production of 1.65 million to 1.80 million tonnes, while WAIO production is anticipated at 253 million to 264 million tonnes.
With the stock already gaining 3%, attention now turns to whether stronger cash flows, lower debt and future-facing commodity exposure can outweigh commodity-price swings and keep BHP’s ASX momentum alive.
Note- All data presented is based on information available at the time of writing.Disclaimer for Kapitales ResearchThe materials provided by Kapitales Research, including articles, news, data, reports, opinions, images, charts, and videos ("Content"), are intended for personal, non-commercial use only. The primary goal of this Content is to educate and inform readers. This Content is not meant to offer financial advice, nor does it include any recommendation or opinion that should be relied upon for making financial decisions. Certain Content on this platform may be sponsored or unsponsored, but it does not serve as a solicitation or endorsement to buy, sell, or hold any securities, nor does it encourage any specific investment activities. Kapitales Research is not authorized to provide investment advice, and we strongly advise users to seek guidance from a qualified financial professional, such as a financial advisor or stockbroker, before making any investment choices. Kapitales Research disclaims all liability for any direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages arising from the use of the Content, which is provided without any warranties. The opinions expressed by contributors or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the views of Kapitales Research. Media such as images or music used on this platform are either owned by Kapitales Research, sourced through paid subscriptions, or believed to be in the public domain. We have made reasonable efforts to credit sources where appropriate. Kapitales Research does not claim ownership of any third-party media unless explicitly stated otherwise.
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Nextgen Global Services Pty Ltd trading as Kapitales Research (ABN 89 652 632 561) is a Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 1293674) of Enva Australia Pty Ltd (AFSL 424494). The information contained in this website is general information only. Any advice is general advice only. No consideration has been given or will be given to the individual investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. The decision to invest or trade and the method selected is a personal decision and involves an inherent level of risk, and you must undertake your own investigations and obtain your own advice regarding the suitability of this product for your circumstances. Please be aware that all trading activity is subject to both profit & loss and may not be suitable for you. The past performance of this product is not and should not be taken as an indication of future performance.
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Can BHP’s Earnings Momentum Give This ASX Stock More Room to Run?
Highlights
Why Is BHP Stock Back in Focus?BHP Group Limited (ASX: BHP) has moved into the spotlight after its shares advanced around 3%, taking the current market price (CMP) to AU$64.000. Investor interest follows a solid FY26 result, where stronger commodity pricing and dependable operating performance helped lift the company’s financial position.
BHP generated US$58.76 billion in revenue, 15% higher year on year, while attributable profit increased 9% to US$9.83 billion. Underlying EBITDA expanded to US$32.95 billion from US$25.98 billion in FY25, signalling a notable improvement in underlying earnings.Where Did the Earnings Boost Come From?Copper emerged as a major force behind BHP’s improved performance. The division generated US$29.0 billion in revenue, US$6.5 billion more than the previous year. Copper underlying EBITDA increased by US$5.9 billion to US$18.2 billion, largely benefiting from stronger realised prices.
Iron Ore continued to provide substantial earnings support, contributing US$23.9 billion in revenue and US$14.5 billion in underlying EBITDA.
Cash generation was also healthy. Net operating cash flows reached US$21.78 billion, while capital and exploration expenditure stood at US$10.26 billion. Importantly, net debt reduced to US$8.69 billion from US$12.92 billion in FY25, providing BHP with greater balance-sheet flexibility.How Is BHP Preparing for Future Growth?BHP continues to deepen its exposure to copper while building its potash business. Copper South Australia produced 321 thousand tonnes of payable copper, while Antamina achieved a financial-year record of 152 thousand tonnes.
Meanwhile, Jansen Stage 1 reached 84% completion, with first potash output expected in mid-CY27, potentially adding another long-term earnings stream.What Could Shape BHP’s Next Share-Price Move?For FY27, BHP expects copper production of 1.65 million to 1.80 million tonnes, while WAIO production is anticipated at 253 million to 264 million tonnes.
With the stock already gaining 3%, attention now turns to whether stronger cash flows, lower debt and future-facing commodity exposure can outweigh commodity-price swings and keep BHP’s ASX momentum alive.
Note- All data presented is based on information available at the time of writing.Disclaimer for Kapitales ResearchThe materials provided by Kapitales Research, including articles, news, data, reports, opinions, images, charts, and videos ("Content"), are intended for personal, non-commercial use only. The primary goal of this Content is to educate and inform readers. This Content is not meant to offer financial advice, nor does it include any recommendation or opinion that should be relied upon for making financial decisions. Certain Content on this platform may be sponsored or unsponsored, but it does not serve as a solicitation or endorsement to buy, sell, or hold any securities, nor does it encourage any specific investment activities. Kapitales Research is not authorized to provide investment advice, and we strongly advise users to seek guidance from a qualified financial professional, such as a financial advisor or stockbroker, before making any investment choices. Kapitales Research disclaims all liability for any direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages arising from the use of the Content, which is provided without any warranties. The opinions expressed by contributors or guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect the views of Kapitales Research. Media such as images or music used on this platform are either owned by Kapitales Research, sourced through paid subscriptions, or believed to be in the public domain. We have made reasonable efforts to credit sources where appropriate. Kapitales Research does not claim ownership of any third-party media unless explicitly stated otherwise.
Customer Notice:
Nextgen Global Services Pty Ltd trading as Kapitales Research (ABN 89 652 632 561) is a Corporate Authorised Representative (CAR No. 1293674) of Enva Australia Pty Ltd (AFSL 424494). The information contained in this website is general information only. Any advice is general advice only. No consideration has been given or will be given to the individual investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular person. The decision to invest or trade and the method selected is a personal decision and involves an inherent level of risk, and you must undertake your own investigations and obtain your own advice regarding the suitability of this product for your circumstances. Please be aware that all trading activity is subject to both profit & loss and may not be suitable for you. The past performance of this product is not and should not be taken as an indication of future performance.
Kapitales Research, Level 13, Suite 1A, 465 Victoria Ave, Chatswood, NSW 2067, Australia | 1800 005 780 | info@kapitales.com.au